Analysis of Vietnam’s Export Performance in H1/ 2025: Strong Growth and Positive Structural Shifts

According to data from the General Department of Vietnam Customs, Vietnam’s export turnover in the first half of 2025 reached an impressive USD 219.86 billion, an increase of 14.5% compared to the same period in 2024. In June alone, exports reached USD 39.52 billion, a slight decrease of 0.2% from May but still reflecting a strong upward trend. The export structure shows significant expansion in both product groups and markets, indicating a robust recovery and sustained growth in the external sector.
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According to data from the General Department of Vietnam Customs, Vietnam’s export turnover in the first half of 2025 reached an impressive USD 219.86 billion, an increase of 14.5% compared to the same period in 2024. In June alone, exports reached USD 39.52 billion, a slight decrease of 0.2% from May but still reflecting a strong upward trend. The export structure shows significant expansion in both product groups and markets, indicating a robust recovery and sustained growth in the external sector.

Sector-wise Analysis

1. Manufacturing and Processing – The Main Growth Engine

This group remains the key pillar of Vietnam’s exports, accounting for over 80% of total export value.

  • Computers, electronics, and components reached USD 47.7 billion (+40%), becoming the top export product. Major markets include the U.S., China, South Korea, and the Netherlands.

  • Machinery and equipment reached USD 26.9 billion (+15.4%), growing strongly in markets such as the U.S., Germany, and South Korea.

  • Phones and accessories reached USD 26.9 billion, slightly down 0.9%, mainly due to a slowdown in demand from the U.S. and Europe.

  • Textiles and garments recorded USD 18.67 billion (+12.3%), recovering well in the U.S., Japan, and EU markets.

  • Footwear exports totaled USD 11.89 billion (+10.1%), with consistent growth in the U.S., Belgium, and Germany.

  • Toys and sporting goods witnessed a surprising boom, increasing 103.4% to USD 3.3 billion, thanks to rising demand from the U.S. and Asia.

2. Agricultural and Seafood Exports: Recovering and Breaking Through

  • Coffee exports surged to USD 5.4 billion, up 66.2%, becoming a standout in agricultural exports.

  • Cashew nuts reached USD 2.35 billion, up 19.8%, recovering well in the U.S. and EU.

  • Seafood earned USD 5.11 billion, up 15.9%, especially strong in the U.S., EU, and South Korea.

  • Rubber reached USD 1.29 billion, up 16.2%, with both volume and prices increasing.

  • In contrast, rice exports dropped 15.4% to USD 2.44 billion, mainly due to falling prices and intense competition from India and Thailand.

  • Pepper rose 33.9% in value, although quantity slightly declined.

3. Raw Materials, Mining & Energy: Sluggish Performance

  • Crude oil fell sharply by 37.5%, reaching only USD 653 million.

  • Petroleum products dropped 54.8%, reflecting weaker global demand and volatile prices.

  • Steel and iron fell 22.5%, affected by falling global steel prices and trade barriers in Europe.

  • However, some commodities showed mild recovery, such as clinker & cement (+4.4%) and coal (+5.6%).

Country-wise Export Analysis

Key Markets Showing Strong Growth

  • 🇺🇸 The United States remains Vietnam’s largest export market with USD 70.91 billion, up USD 15.6 billion year-over-year. Major exports include electronics, textiles, wood products, and agricultural goods.

  • 🇨🇳 China: Exports reached USD 29.1 billion, rising USD 11.2 billion, led by computers, electronic components, rubber, and seafood.

  • 🇰🇷 South Korea: Up by USD 10.3 billion, reaching USD 13.7 billion, with strong exports in machinery, electronics, and textiles.

  • 🇯🇵 Japan: Reached USD 11.2 billion, up USD 9.1 billion, remaining a stable market for machinery, consumer goods, and foodstuffs.

  • 🇮🇳 India: Made a significant comeback, reaching USD 5 billion, up 5.9%, driven by electronics, steel, and agro-exports.

EU and Emerging Markets Also Expanded

  • 🇳🇱 Netherlands: Recorded USD 6.25 billion, up USD 6.1 billion, acting as a logistics hub for Vietnamese goods into the EU.

  • 🇦🇪 UAE: Saw an increase of nearly USD 1 billion, especially in phone and coffee exports.

  • Other promising markets include 🇧🇷 Brazil, 🇦🇺 Australia, 🇵🇱 Poland, and 🇲🇽 Mexico, reflecting the effectiveness of Vietnam’s market diversification strategy.

Markets with Declining or Flat Exports

  • Some markets showed a slight decline, including:

    • Middle East: 🇮🇷 Iran, 🇮🇶 Iraq, 🇮🇱 Israel

    • Europe: 🇫🇮 Finland, 🇳🇴 Norway

    • Latin America: 🇨🇴 Colombia, 🇵🇪 Peru

These drops are mainly due to political instability, currency constraints, or weakening consumer demand.

Summary:

The first half of 2025 marks a strong and stable recovery for Vietnam’s export sector, with 14.5% growth in total turnover. Electronics, machinery, textiles, and agricultural products are driving this upward trend, while the export structure shows diversification and resilience.

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